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= AGN Variability interest group =

[[EroAgn|Back to the eROSITA AGN working group]]

The purpose of this page is to serve as a data exchange for a loose groups of people interested in AGN variability, both spectral and flux.

For non-AGN & TDE, see [[eroTDA_ScienceProjects|TDA Science Projects]].

== People interested ==

 * Johannes Buchner
 * Mirko Krumpe
 * Gabriele Ponti (TBC, not in AGN WG anymore according to [[EroAgn]]?)
 * Joern Wilms (TBC)

Please add your name! :)

== Ideas for projects & papers ==

Add ideas, information and names where you are interested, so we can communicate and work together.
This is still all in the pre-WG approval phase, so nothing is set in stone (e.g., w.r.t. leading projects).
Mostly this is a collection of ideas.

 * Blazar luminosity variability:
   * Science goals: Constraining jet models [[TDA_Projects_Wilms-blazarJets]]
   * People interested: Joern Wilms (TBC), ...
   * Data requirements: needs ...?
 * Occultation on 6m-year timescales (absorption/spectral variability)
   * Science goals: listed below
   * People interested:
     * JohannesBuchner (statistical inference on torus/BLR granularity)
     * MirkoKrumpe (statistical inference on torus/BLR granularity, follow-up of behaviour of individual events for in-depth understanding, ...)
   * Data requirements:
     * needs second all-sky survey
     * possibly first results can be done comparing to archives (RASS, 3XMM, CSC)
     * needs >10,000 sources, so small areas (<10 square degrees) are not effective.
 * Occultation on day timescales (scanning stripe overlaps)
   * Science goals:
   * People interested:
     * MirkoKrumpe
     * ...
   * Data requirements: eRASS, eFEDS also ok?
 * Extreme increases in AGN luminosity
   * Science goals: a factor of 100x luminosity increase ("turn-on") enables dust reverberation mapping, i.e. constraining the torus geometry if followed up with infrared campaigns
   * People interested:
     * ...
   * Data requirements:
     * needs second all-sky survey, possibly first results can be done comparing to archives (RASS, 3XMM, CSC)
 * Extreme decreases in AGN luminosity
   * Science goals: a factor of 100x luminosity decreases ("turn-off") allow constraining the torus geometry through a clean view of the X-ray reflection spectrum. Requires follow-up with hard X-rays (NuSTAR), thus limited to (previously) bright sources.
   * People interested:
     * JohannesBuchner
     * MirkoKrumpe
     * ...
   * Data requirements:
     * probably needs second all-sky survey to identify rapid decreases
 * Tidal Disruption Events
   * see [[eroTDA_ScienceProjects]]
 * flux variability as Black hole mass estimator & as standard candles
   * see [[AGN_flux_variability]]
   * People interested:
     * Gabriele Ponti
     * Andrea Merloni
     * Kirpal Nandra
     * Barbara DeMarco
     * ...

There is also [[eRosita/AGN_spectral_variability]], feel free to integrate that here as specific science projects.

== Work Products ==

 * Johannes Buchner: [[attachment:JohannesBuchner_occultation_proposal.pdf| MC Proposal]] for constraining torus granularity with 180d-2y eROSITA cadences (bright AGN) and CDF-S with advanced statistical methods (faint AGN). Feasibility calculations and predictions for eRASS begin at the bottom of page 3:
   * 13,000 hard-band detected AGN in the extragalactic sky
   * measure NH in soft band (more sensitive), every 6 months
   * expect 120-1,200 of the 13,000 AGN to show eclipse events after waiting 6 months
   * with that, can constrain obscurer granularity (see figure);
   * redshifts/BHM not needed initially, but will be useful later to divide by source type
   * Further divisions by strength of NH variation
 * Mirko Krumpe: ...